Saturday, September 26, 2009

Shadow housing Inventory - No bottom in sight

Until housing gets back to normal ( no not boom times ) rather normal where housing price and income are within a normal range we are not close to normal recovery. Anybody think we are close to a housing bottom might want to read this story.....

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Ivy Zelman, chief executive of Zelman & Associates, a research firm based in Cleveland, believes three million to four million foreclosed homes will be put up for sale in the next few years. The question is whether the flow of these homes onto the market will resemble "a fire hose or a garden hose or a drip," she says.

Analysts who track the shadow market have focused primarily on the gap between the number of seriously delinquent loans and the number of foreclosed homes for sale by mortgage companies. A loan is considered seriously delinquent, which typically means it is headed to foreclosure, if it is 90 days or more past due.

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